Authored by notable figures such as Center for European Policy Analysis President and CEO Dr. Alina Polyakova and Senior Adviser Edward Lucas, the report addresses the failure of deterrence in the European theater, emphasizing the unprecedented dual threats posed by Russian imperialism and the ascent of China within the US-led alliance.
The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) has outlined a comprehensive vision for the future of NATO, European security, transatlantic relations, and the global order in the aftermath of Russia’s prolonged invasion of Ukraine
The authors assert that Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, initiated on February 24, 2022, has triggered the most severe crisis in Europe since World War Two, leading to the disintegration of the post-Cold War international order. However, they also contend that from crisis arises opportunity, noting the unification of the transatlantic alliance and heightened strength in the face of adversity.
According to the Center for European Policy Analysis, the transatlantic community’s resilience hinges on the security of Ukraine, emphasizing that Europe can only be secure if Ukraine is secure, and likewise, the United States is not secure without a stable Europe. Consequently, the Center for European Policy Analysis advocates for Ukraine’s NATO membership as the sole lasting security guarantee, arguing that this move would enhance the alliance’s strength, improve deterrence, and boost capabilities.
The report, a year-long study involving key Center for European Policy Analysis figures, unveils a comprehensive vision and blueprint for Europe’s security architecture
It delineates eight core strategic tenets, including the pivotal role of Ukraine in transatlantic security, the necessity of incorporating gray zones in Europe into the security architecture, and the shift of power balance eastwards, prompting NATO’s modernization.
Center for European Policy Analysis underscores the crucial role of the “Global South” in determining the future of geostrategic competition while emphasizing the need for NATO‘s core mission to focus on deterring Russia in Europe. The report contends that the failure in Ukraine would signify the end of US global leadership, carrying disastrous implications for deterring China. In essence, the report argues that defeating Russia in Ukraine is the most effective means to deter China.
Center for European Policy Analysis’ mission, as stated on its website, revolves around fostering a robust transatlantic alliance rooted in democratic values and nurturing networks of future leaders versed in Atlanticism. The full CEPA report can be accessed on their official website.